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LU9DCE > SOLAR    05.03.20 07:34l 81 Lines 3565 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 10803_LU9DCE
Read: GAST
Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 05 03
Path: DB0FFL<DB0FHN<DB0BLO<DB0ERF<OK0NAG<OK0NBR<OK2PEN<N3HYM<N7HPX<LU9DCE
Sent: 200305/0401Z 10803@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.19

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           / (_/\) \/ (\__  )) D (( (__  ) _)    ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \
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               ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
                   BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
                           CYGWIN - LU9DCE@GMX.COM
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 Mar 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 64 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Mar 2020

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z to
04/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (05 Mar, 06 Mar, 07 Mar).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 425 km/s at 03/2254Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 04/1714Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
04/1613Z.  Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 388 pfu.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (05 Mar) and quiet levels
on days two and three (06 Mar, 07 Mar).

III.  Event probabilities 05 Mar-07 Mar
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           04 Mar 070
Predicted   05 Mar-07 Mar 070/070/070
90 Day Mean        04 Mar 071

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Mar  004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Mar  006/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Mar-07 Mar  008/008-006/005-006/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Mar-07 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/10/10
Minor Storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/20/20
Minor Storm           25/20/20
Major-severe storm    20/10/10

+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+

A book is the work of a mind, doing its work in the way that a mind deems best.
That's dangerous.  Is the work of some mere individual mind likely to serve
the aims of collectively accepted compromises, which are known in the schools
as 'standards'?  Any mind that would audaciously put itself forth to work
all alone is surely a bad example for the students, and probably, if not
downright antisocial, at least a little off-center, self-indulgent, elitist.
... It's just good pedagogy, therefore, to stay away from such stuff, and
use instead, if film-strips and rap-sessions must be supplemented, 'texts,'
selected, or prepared, or adapted, by real professionals.  Those texts are
called 'reading material.'  They are the academic equivalent of the 'listening
material' that fills waiting-rooms, and the 'eating material' that you can
buy in thousands of convenient eating resource centers along the roads.
		-- The Underground Grammarian

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