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LU9DCE > SOLAR 04.03.20 07:34l 70 Lines 2671 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 10744_LU9DCE
Read: GAST
Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 04 03
Path: DB0FFL<DB0FHN<DB0BLO<DB0ERF<OK0NAG<OK0NBR<OK2PEN<N3HYM<LU3DVN<LU9DCE
Sent: 200304/0401Z 10744@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.19
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 Mar 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 63 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Mar 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z to
03/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (04 Mar, 05 Mar, 06 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 464 km/s at 02/2210Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
02/2223Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
02/2203Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 433 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (04 Mar, 05 Mar)
and quiet levels on day three (06 Mar).
III. Event probabilities 04 Mar-06 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Mar 070
Predicted 04 Mar-06 Mar 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 03 Mar 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Mar 004/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Mar 007/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Mar-06 Mar 007/008-008/008-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Mar-06 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/10
Minor Storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/20
Minor Storm 25/25/20
Major-severe storm 20/20/10
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