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HP2DFA > STROM 01.09.26 02:06l 30 Lines 2509 Bytes #60 (0) @ WW
BID : 1301_HP2DFA
Subj: 7 DAYS CARIBEAN OUTLOOK C.AMERICA SEP1-7
Path: DB0FFL<OE2XZR<OE6XPE<DB0RKB<DK0WUE<IW2OHX<GB7OSW<GB7BED<VA2RIZ<HP2DFA
Sent: 260831/2320Z 1301@HP2DFA.#COL.PAN.CEAM BPQ6.0.24
The 7-day outlook for [Central America](https://www.google.com/search?kgmid=/m/01tzh) indicates a strongly divided weather pattern between a wetter Pacific slope and a comparatively drier, unseasonably warm Caribbean basin. This is highly driven by regional wind configurations and local instigators like Tropical Wave No. 28. [1, 2, 3]
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## 🌴 The Caribbean Slope (Below Normal Rain & High Heat)
*
* Weather Conditions: Unlike typical seasonal behavior, the Caribbean side will see highly scattered rainfall over the next 7 days.
* Rainfall Accumulation: Most areas will experience an unusual deficit, trending near or below normal monthly baselines. This is heavily influenced by the lingering effects of the El Niño phenomenon.
* Temperatures: Expect a significant heat index spike. Ambient temperatures are forecast to register up to 2°C to 3°C above average, with maximums frequently hitting 31°C to 35°C and heat indices breaching 38°C in localized lowlands. [1, 2, 5, 7, 8, 9]
*
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## 📅 Weekly Risk Timeline (September 1 – September 7, 2026)
| Period | Primary Weather Drivers | Most Affected Areas |
|---|---|---|
| Sept 1 – Sept 3 | Active passage of Tropical Wave No. 28 interacting with Pacific low-pressure systems. | Southern Costa Rica, Pacific Panama, and the volcanic chain of Guatemala / El Salvador. |
| Sept 4 – Sept 5 | Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) lifting north; brief convective windows on the Caribbean coast. | Colón Province (Panama), Mosquitia coast (Honduras), and Bocacosta (Guatemala). |
| Sept 6 – Sept 7 | Strengthening Pacific maritime moisture flow; potential tropical disturbance tracking far offshore. | Coastal plains of Chiapas, Guatemala, El Salvador, and Nicaragua's Pacific rim. |
No immediate tropical cyclone landfalls are expected to threaten either coastline over the next 7 days. However, small craft mariners should monitor regional ports for localized squalls, rough seas, and wind shifts near severe offshore thunderstorms. [9]
Would you like to drill down into the exact 7-day precipitation totals or marine swell forecasts for a specific sub-region, such as the Gulf of ChiriquÃ, the Honduran Bay Islands, or the Guatemalan highlands?
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