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HP2DFA > NHC      21.10.26 23:07l 90 Lines 3349 Bytes #59 (0) @ WW
BID : 5333_HP2DFA
Subj: NHC: Subtropical Storm Josephine Public Advisory Number 1
Path: DB0FFL<OE2XZR<OE6XPE<DB0RKB<DK0WUE<ZL2BAU<VE3CGR<PI8ZTM<DM4RW<HP2DFA
Sent: 261021/2057Z 5333@HP2DFA.#COL.PAN.CEAM BPQ6.0.24

======================================================================
               NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER (NHC) BULLETIN - WW
            Automated NOAA/NHC Real-Time Operational Broadcast
======================================================================
Title: Subtropical Storm Josephine Public Advisory Number 1
Source: nhc.noaa.gov
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Issued at 500 PM AST Wed Oct 21 2026 000
WTNT35 KNHC 212046
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Josephine Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102026
500 PM AST Wed Oct 21 2026

...SUBTROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FORMS...
...FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM THE UNITED STATES...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.4N 69.5W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM S OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
ABOUT 585 MI...940 KM SW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Josephine
was located near latitude 37.4 North, longitude 69.5 West. Josephine
is moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h).  The storm should
turn northeastward by tomorrow with a large increase in forward
speed.  On the forecast track, Josephine should move away from the
United States and remain south of Nova Scotia and Newfoundland.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some strengthening is expected, though Josephine is
anticipated to remain a subtropical storm through early Thursday.
Further strengthening is likely by late Thursday as Josephine
becomes a post-tropical cyclone with hurricane-force winds.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km) from the
center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Gale-force winds are possible in gusts along portions of the
northeastern United States coast through Thursday.  See products
issued by your local National Weather Service office for more
details.

COASTAL FLOODING:  Minor to locally moderate coastal flooding is
ongoing along portions of the U.S. Mid-Atlantic coast and will
continue through the rest of the week around times of high tide.
Please refer to products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office for more information.

SURF: Large swells generated by Josephine are affecting much of the
eastern seaboard of the United States and portions of Atlantic
Canada. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Blake
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