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LU9DCE > SOLAR 15.03.20 06:13l 67 Lines 2518 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 11428_LU9DCE
Read: GAST
Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 15 03
Path: DB0FFL<OE5XBL<OE5XBR<OE1XAB<HG8LXL<XE1FH<N3HYM<N7HPX<LU9DCE
Sent: 200315/0401Z 11428@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.19
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 Mar 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 74 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Mar 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z to
14/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (15 Mar, 16 Mar, 17 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 435 km/s at 13/2127Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 135 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (15 Mar, 16 Mar, 17
Mar).
III. Event probabilities 15 Mar-17 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Mar 068
Predicted 15 Mar-17 Mar 069/069/069
90 Day Mean 14 Mar 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Mar 006/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Mar 003/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Mar-17 Mar 006/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Mar-17 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 15/15/15
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