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LU9DCE > SOLAR 08.03.20 07:34l 70 Lines 2676 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 11000_LU9DCE
Read: GAST
Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 08 03
Path: DB0FFL<DB0FHN<DB0BLO<DB0ERF<OK0NAG<OK0NBR<OK2PEN<PY2BIL<LU9DCE
Sent: 200308/0400Z 11000@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.19
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
CYGWIN - LU9DCE@GMX.COM
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 Mar 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 67 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Mar 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z to
07/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (08 Mar, 09 Mar, 10 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 395 km/s at 07/1200Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
06/2246Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
07/0621Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 209 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (08 Mar, 09 Mar, 10
Mar).
III. Event probabilities 08 Mar-10 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Mar 070
Predicted 08 Mar-10 Mar 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 07 Mar 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Mar 004/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Mar 006/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Mar-10 Mar 006/005-006/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Mar-10 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/25
Minor Storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 25/25/30
Major-severe storm 20/20/30
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i'm living so far beyond my income that we may almost be said to be living
apart.
-- e. e. cummings
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