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LU9DCE > SOLAR 02.02.20 06:09l 71 Lines 2773 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 8403_LU9DCE
Read: GAST
Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 02 02
Path: DB0FFL<OE2XZR<OE5XBR<OE1XAB<HG8LXL<XE1FH<N3HYM<N7HPX<LU9DCE
Sent: 200202/0400Z 8403@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.19
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 Feb 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 32 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Feb 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31/2100Z to
01/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (02 Feb, 03 Feb, 04 Feb).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 507 km/s at 01/1028Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
01/2009Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
01/2009Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 403 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (02 Feb,
03 Feb, 04 Feb).
III. Event probabilities 02 Feb-04 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 Feb 073
Predicted 02 Feb-04 Feb 071/070/070
90 Day Mean 01 Feb 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 31 Jan 006/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Feb 005/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Feb-04 Feb 006/006-006/006-006/006
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Feb-04 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 20/20/20
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A Los Angeles judge ruled that "a citizen may snore with immunity in his
own home, even though he may be in possession of unusual and exceptional
ability in that particular field."
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